Renewable Energy Sources Spatio-Temporal Scenarios Simulation under Influence of Climatic Phenomena

This work proposes a methodology for modeling and simulating stochastic processes of Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) sources production. The main objective is to capture, in the scenarios, both the influence of climate phenomena and the complementarity between different sources based on the definition of joint states of VREs. Case studies were developed based on data from three renewable energies covering the Brazilian territory. Regarding the evaluation criteria, the results were satisfactory, and the proposed methodology performed better than the benchmark model applied in the Brazilian market.